META Taps Nuclear Energy to Fuel AI Expansion: Buy or Hold the Stock?

Core Insights - Meta Platforms (META) is significantly investing in AI infrastructure, including nuclear energy agreements to secure up to 6.6 gigawatts (GWs) of power by 2035, enhancing its ESG profile and addressing energy needs for AI systems [1][2][8] Group 1: Energy Strategy - META has signed long-term nuclear power agreements with Vistra, TerraPower, and Oklo, making it a major corporate buyer of clean energy [2] - The nuclear energy deals are expected to provide reliable electricity, reducing risks associated with energy price volatility and shortages [2][8] - META is backing the development of advanced nuclear technology, including Natrium units capable of generating up to 690 MW, with delivery expected as early as 2032 [3] Group 2: Financial Outlook - META's capital expenditure is projected to be between $70 billion and $72 billion in 2025, with a combined expected spending of $380 billion on AI infrastructure by major tech companies [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings is $23.04 per share, reflecting a 4.3% decline from previous estimates, while revenues are expected to grow by 21.3% [13] - For 2026, earnings are estimated at $30.17 per share, indicating a 30.94% growth from 2025, with revenues projected to reach $235.17 billion [14] Group 3: Market Performance - META shares have underperformed, returning only 2.3% over the past 12 months compared to a 27.6% increase in the broader sector [5] - The stock is considered overvalued, trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 6.72X, higher than the industry average of 4.66X [10] - Despite challenges, META's growing popularity among young adults and improved AI recommendations are expected to drive top-line growth [10]