国际银价首次超越90美元 短期内波动将显著加剧

Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have experienced a significant breakthrough, reaching around $90 per ounce in both New York futures and London spot markets, driven by lower-than-expected U.S. CPI data and increasing concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence and policy stability [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movement and Factors - As of January 14, silver prices surged, with Shanghai Futures Exchange reporting a closing price of 22,763 yuan per kilogram, an increase of 8.03% from the previous trading day [1]. - Since the beginning of 2025, silver prices have been on a continuous upward trend, starting at approximately $29 per ounce and accelerating to over $80 by year-end, marking a cumulative increase of about 148% for the year [1]. - In early 2026, silver prices have further accelerated, with a rise of over 25% within just two weeks [1]. Group 2: Future Price Volatility and Demand - Experts anticipate significant short-term volatility in silver prices, with potential for a price correction due to profit-taking behaviors following new highs [2]. - There is a possibility that silver prices could further rise to $100 per ounce in the short term [2]. - The long-term outlook for silver prices remains bullish, supported by demand from sectors such as photovoltaics and new energy, as well as macroeconomic factors like economic cycles, monetary policy, and inflation expectations [2].