人民币兑美元中间价报7.0064上调56点，升值至2023年5月18日以来最高！投资者押注美联储今年将维持利率不变

Group 1 - Increasing number of options traders are betting that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged throughout the year, moving away from expectations of rate cuts [2] - Recent U.S. employment data showed an unexpected drop in the unemployment rate, which has nearly eliminated the possibility of a rate cut in the upcoming policy meeting [2] - The stable labor market provides little justification for further rate cuts after three reductions of 25 basis points each last year, especially with inflation still above the Fed's target [2] Group 2 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in January is 95%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is only 5% [3] - By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 26%, with a 72.8% chance of maintaining rates unchanged, and only a 1.2% chance of a 50 basis point cut [3] Group 3 - On January 15, the central parity rate of the RMB against the USD was reported at 7.0064, an increase of 56 points, marking the highest level since May 18, 2023 [4]