Core Viewpoint - Company maintains a "outperform" rating for Hillstone Technology (01478) with a target price of HKD 14.97, indicating a potential upside of 46.5% from the current stock price [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecast - Company issued a positive earnings forecast, expecting a 400-450% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, amounting to approximately HKD 1.4-1.53 billion, significantly exceeding both the firm's and market expectations [1] - The firm has revised its net profit estimates for 2025 and 2026 upwards by 109% and 12% respectively, projecting net profits of HKD 1.469 billion and HKD 952 million for those years [1] - The report introduces revenue expectations for 2027 at HKD 27.7 billion and net profit of HKD 1.21 billion [1] Group 2: Product Performance - Non-mobile product shipments are expected to double year-on-year, with 2025 non-mobile CCM shipments projected at 25.59 million units, reflecting a 111% increase, and a significant 163% growth in the second half of 2025 [1] - The growth in non-mobile products is attributed to high demand for handheld imaging devices, strong sales from automotive clients in the second half, and expansion into AI glasses and robotics in other IoT sectors [1] - The firm anticipates an improvement in gross margins for non-mobile CCMs in the second half of 2025 due to economies of scale [1] Group 3: Mobile Product Outlook - For 2025, mobile CCM shipments are projected at 435 million units, representing a 3% year-on-year increase [2] - Despite an increase in overseas customer share leading to a decline in the proportion of shipments over 32MP to 48%, sales of high-end periscope and OIS modules are expected to grow significantly [2] - Overall ASP and gross margins for mobile CCMs are expected to remain stable or improve [2] Group 4: FPM Performance - The overall FPM shipment for 2025 is expected to reach 203 million units, a 26% year-on-year increase [2] - Ultrasonic FPM shipments are projected at 41.55 million units, showing a remarkable growth of 389%, which effectively enhances the product's added value [2]
中金：丘钛科技(01478)盈利预告大幅超预期 维持“跑赢行业”评级