广发证券郭磊:有色金属战略地位跃升,成为“新阶段的原油”
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-15 02:53

Core Viewpoint - The current performance of global major asset classes is driven by multiple "mainstream narratives," including the long-term weakening of the dollar credit cycle, the formation of a new monetary system with gold as a pricing anchor, the restructuring of global industrial and supply chains, AI computing power becoming a new phase of infrastructure, and non-ferrous metals emerging as the "new oil" of this phase [1] Group 1: Global Asset Dynamics - The narratives are interconnected and form a "narrative constellation" that is systematically reshaping global asset pricing logic, with no indication that this narrative phase is nearing its end [1] - Non-ferrous metals have significantly enhanced their strategic position in the context of global industrial restructuring and energy transition, akin to the role of oil in previous decades [1] Group 2: Chinese Economic Consumption - The consumption structure of the Chinese economy is undergoing a significant transformation, shifting from a focus on goods consumption to a balanced emphasis on both goods and services consumption [1] - There is strong demand for service consumption in areas such as cultural tourism, elderly care, and childcare, with policy incentives for service consumption expected to become an important macroeconomic clue for 2026, driving optimization of domestic demand structure [1]

GF SECURITIES-广发证券郭磊:有色金属战略地位跃升,成为“新阶段的原油” - Reportify