Group 1 - Goldman Sachs clients' optimism has surged to its highest level in about a year, driven by confidence in global growth outweighing geopolitical and macroeconomic concerns [1] - The firm's "risk appetite indicator" has risen to its highest point since early 2025, positioned at the 96th percentile historically [1] - Goldman Sachs' managing director, Lee Koppesmith, noted that while increased risk appetite is often seen as a sign of investor exuberance, the current growth momentum in the U.S. and other regions may support a bullish outlook [1] Group 2 - The S&P 500 index has risen approximately 0.7% in 2026, maintaining a position near historical highs, aligning with Wall Street strategists' optimistic views for strong performance this year [3] - Geopolitical concerns have recently impacted the market, with the benchmark index dropping about 1% due to worries over potential U.S. actions against Iran [3] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs reported a significant jump in indicators measuring global growth optimism, with investors showing a preference for stocks over bonds and cyclical stocks over defensive ones, alongside narrowing credit spreads and rising inflation expectations [4] - This shift is particularly evident in U.S. cyclical sectors, indicating strong confidence in growth, with small-cap stocks outperforming the S&P 500 for nine consecutive trading days, matching the longest winning streak since the financial crisis [4] Group 4 - Other sentiment indicators also reflect similar bullishness, with Goldman Sachs' Marquee client survey showing bullish sentiment levels not seen in the past decade, occurring only three other times [4] - In two of those instances, the market experienced a pullback within three months [4] Group 5 - A key distinction this time is the broadness of positions, with about 22% of respondents still identifying as bearish, indicating that while positive sentiment is high, it has not reached a dangerously one-sided state [6]
高盛风险指标飙升至历史高位!华尔街陷入“极度亢奋”,是增长繁荣还是见顶前奏?