生鲜生意还值得资本下注吗
3 6 Ke·2026-01-15 03:46

Core Insights - The company, Qian Dama, has experienced a rapid growth trajectory, crossing the 10 billion RMB revenue mark in 8 years, but has faced significant challenges leading to a net loss of 288 million RMB in the first three quarters of 2025 after previously earning 288 million RMB annually [1][9][11] - The fresh food industry is notoriously difficult, with many companies, including Dingdong Maicai and Hema Fresh, struggling despite large-scale financing and initial high growth expectations [2][4] - Qian Dama's recent attempt to list on the Hong Kong stock exchange reflects a desperate need for capital amid financial pressures and a competitive landscape [5][17] Company Overview - Qian Dama was founded in 2012 in Dongguan, initially focusing on pork sales, and expanded to over 3,700 stores nationwide, achieving peak revenue of over 11.7 billion RMB [6][8] - The company adopted a "daily fresh" model, significantly reducing inventory turnover time to under 12 hours, which is much lower than the industry average of 2-4 days [12][13] - Despite its initial success, Qian Dama's revenue growth has stagnated, with a notable decline in net profit, attributed to a shift in consumer behavior towards only purchasing fresh goods [9][14] Financial Performance - In 2023, Qian Dama reported a revenue of 11.744 billion RMB, with a slight increase projected for 2024, but a decline of 4.2% expected in the first nine months of 2025 [11] - The company's gross profit margins are significantly lower than the industry average, with 2023 and 2024 margins at 9.8% and 10.2%, respectively, compared to the typical 15%-20% [14] - The number of stores has decreased to approximately 2,900 by September 2025, with a higher number of franchise terminations than new openings in recent years [16] Industry Context - The fresh food retail sector is highly competitive, with established players like Alibaba, JD, and Pinduoduo solidifying their positions, while Qian Dama's traditional model appears outdated [20][22] - Competitors such as Dingdong Maicai and Hema Fresh have shown signs of recovery and profitability, contrasting with Qian Dama's ongoing financial struggles [21][22] - The shift in consumer preferences towards price sensitivity has raised concerns about customer loyalty and profitability for Qian Dama, as many customers now only buy discounted fresh goods [16]