世界银行：全球经济韧性超出预期，穷国和富国收入差距拉大

Group 1 - The World Bank projects that the GDP growth for developing economies will slow from 4.2% in 2025 to 4% in 2026, with a slight recovery to 4.1% in 2027 due to easing trade tensions and improved financial conditions [4] - By 2026, the per capita income growth for developing economies is expected to be 3%, which is approximately 1 percentage point lower than the average growth rate from 2000 to 2019, resulting in per capita income reaching only 12% of that of developed economies [4][3] - The report indicates that by the end of 2025, nearly all developed economies will have surpassed their per capita income levels from 2019, while about one-quarter of developing economies will still be below that level [3] Group 2 - The World Bank's latest Global Economic Outlook report highlights that global economic resilience has exceeded expectations despite ongoing trade tensions and policy uncertainties, with a forecasted global growth rate of 2.6% in 2026 [3] - The chief economist of the World Bank emphasizes the need for governments in both emerging and developed economies to actively promote private investment and trade, while managing public spending and increasing investment in new technologies and education to avoid stagnation and unemployment [4] - The report suggests that the upcoming decade will see 1.2 billion young people entering the labor force in developing economies, which may exacerbate employment pressures, necessitating comprehensive policy actions to enhance productivity and employment capacity [5]