Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-01-15 06:11Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Nongfu Spring (09633) is expected to achieve a sales revenue of 51.1 billion RMB and a net profit of 15.2 billion RMB in the fiscal year 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 19% and 26% respectively, which is higher than previous expectations [1] - Goldman Sachs has raised the target price for Nongfu Spring from 58.6 HKD to 60 HKD and reiterated a "Buy" rating [1] - The growth in revenue is attributed to better-than-expected performance in packaged water and tea beverages, along with a moderate expansion in net profit margin [1] Group 2 - For 2026, the company is expected to continue its revenue growth, with the packaged water segment aiming to gain market share through promotional strategies, while tea beverages will benefit from the continuation of "warm cabinet" measures and favorable costs of PET and sugar raw materials [1] - The revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted upward by 1% to 2%, and net profit forecasts have been increased by approximately 2% [1] - The anticipated growth rates for sales revenue and net profit in 2026 are 14% and 16% respectively [1]