Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-15 06:45Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by domestic substitution and self-sufficiency trends, particularly in light of recent U.S. tariffs on semiconductor imports [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) saw a 2.89% increase, with a trading volume exceeding 200 million yuan, and a net inflow of over 137 million yuan in the last five trading days [1]. - Key stocks such as Shanghai Xinyang and Sanjia Technology hit the daily limit, with Shanghai Xinyang rising over 13%, and other significant gains from companies like Zhongwei and Nanda Optoelectronics [1]. Group 2: Impact of Tariffs - The U.S. announced a 25% import tariff on certain semiconductor products starting January 15, 2026, which is expected to create a stronger "acceleration substitution" window for domestic semiconductor equipment [1]. - The direct impact of these tariffs on domestic semiconductor equipment is considered limited, but they may increase supply chain uncertainties [1]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The rise of domestic storage chip manufacturers is reshaping the global pricing cycle, reducing import dependency, and enhancing supply chain security [2]. - The storage chip segment accounts for approximately 30% of the integrated circuit market, indicating significant growth potential for upstream semiconductor equipment [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The global storage industry is entering a new upcycle driven by AI demand for high-performance storage products, with significant growth expected in etching and thin-film deposition equipment due to the shift towards 3D architectures [3]. - Domestic semiconductor equipment companies like North Huachuang and Zhongwei are anticipated to strengthen their market positions as demand increases [3]. Group 5: ETF Composition - The semiconductor equipment ETF focuses on the "selling shovels" segment of the chip industry, with over 90% of its composition in semiconductor equipment, materials, and design [4]. - The index has shown a maximum increase of over 640% since the last semiconductor upcycle, outperforming similar indices [4].