伊朗只是幌子,特朗普关税直指中国,中伊早有应对方案
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-15 08:03

Core Viewpoint - The tariffs imposed by Trump under the pretext of targeting Iran are, in reality, a direct attack on China's influence in the Middle East and global trade, potentially accelerating the diversification of global trade patterns [1][3]. Group 1: Impact on China-Iran Trade Relations - The trade volume between China and Iran exceeded $100 billion last year, accounting for nearly 40% of Iran's total foreign trade, making China the largest target of U.S. tariffs [3]. - China and Iran have proactively prepared for U.S. sanctions by implementing measures such as renminbi settlements, barter trade, and third-country transshipment, transforming U.S. pressure into a catalyst for developing a diversified trade system [3][5]. - China's investments in Iran have been steadily advancing, with over $50 billion invested in 32 projects last year across various sectors, including renewable energy and infrastructure [7]. Group 2: U.S. Strategy and Global Reactions - Trump's sanctions, which have escalated to 16,000 items since the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal in 2018, have inadvertently strengthened the trade cooperation between China and Iran [5]. - The unilateral approach of the U.S. has led to a fragmentation of global responses, with countries like India, Russia, and Turkey seeking alternative trade mechanisms, thereby promoting independent settlement and barter trade [10]. - The actions taken by the U.S. have not only failed to weaken China but have also deepened cooperation among countries, accelerating the trend towards a multipolar global trade environment [12]. Group 3: Long-term Implications for Global Trade - While short-term tariff pressures may affect businesses and consumers, China's core position in the global supply chain is expected to strengthen, forcing multinational companies to adapt to a new diversified trade system [12]. - The increasing trend of de-dollarization and multipolarity in response to U.S. sanctions indicates that American hegemony is not unchallengeable and can be circumvented [12]. - The future global landscape will likely not be dominated by the U.S. alone, but rather shaped by multiple powers, raising questions about the next steps the U.S. will take and how China will maintain its core position in the global supply chain [12].