渣打:2026年全球经济或转向财政刺激

Core Viewpoint - The core theme of the global economy is shifting from monetary stimulus to fiscal stimulus, with an expectation of increased government borrowing and a focus on debt sustainability in global economic discussions [1] Group 1: Economic Outlook - More countries are expected to turn towards fiscal spending this year, indicating a rise in government borrowing [1] - Market liquidity, which peaked in 2025, is anticipated to reverse its expansion trend this year [1] Group 2: Inflation and Central Bank Positioning - Inflation risks may be underestimated as liquidity flows into the real economy and fiscal stimulus increases, while the cost of living remains high [1] - These trends could lead to a more passive position for central banks [1]