Group 1 - The Bank of Japan is expected to raise its key interest rate to 1% or higher by September, with over 75% of economists predicting this increase from the current 0.75% level, which is the highest in 30 years [2] - The new Prime Minister, Sanna Takashi, has expressed a preference for low interest rates, causing market volatility and raising concerns about the risks of further rate hikes [2][3] - A majority of economists believe the Bank of Japan will maintain the current rate during the January and March meetings, with 76% predicting a rise to at least 1% by the end of September [3][4] Group 2 - 60% of economists surveyed predict that the Bank of Japan will raise rates once this year, while 31% expect two increases [4] - The median forecast for the terminal interest rate has increased to 1.5%, significantly higher than the 1% forecast from a year ago, with a range of predictions between 1% and 2% [4]
高市早苗“鸽派”阴影笼罩，日本央行加息路漫漫：7月或是关键节点
Jin Shi Shu Ju·2026-01-15 10:14