调查:美联储1月维持利率不变的概率为95%
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-16 00:34
Core Viewpoint - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 5%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 95% [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Interest Rate Projections - By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 20.8%, with a 78.4% chance of maintaining the current rate and a 0.9% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut [1]