高盛王亚军:2026年港股IPO热度有望延续 国际资金持续关注优质中国企业
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-16 03:23

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong capital market is expected to be "vibrant" in 2025, with total financing reaching $96 billion, more than doubling from $35.2 billion in 2024 [1][2]. Financing Trends - Total financing in the Hong Kong market for 2025 is projected to exceed historical averages by approximately 20%, with a continuation of this trend into 2026 [2][4]. - The IPO and refinancing markets in Hong Kong are expected to remain active in 2026, with total financing still above historical averages despite a high base in 2025 [4]. Structural Changes in Financing - In 2026, the contribution of A+H companies to the IPO market is expected to decline, while the number and absolute scale of newly listed companies will increase [5]. - The refinancing scale in Hong Kong is anticipated to surpass $40 billion in 2026, although the growth rate may slow down [5]. Convertible Bonds - The financing scale of convertible bonds reached $19.8 billion in 2025, accounting for about 20% of total financing, which is above the historical average of 15%. This proportion is expected to remain between 20% and 25% in 2026 [6]. International Investment Interest - The recent listing of MiniMax (Xiyu Technology) on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange saw significant oversubscription, indicating strong interest in AI-related stocks [7]. - There is a growing recognition and acceptance of Chinese technology companies by international investors, with expectations for more AI companies to list in Hong Kong in 2026 [7]. - High-quality consumer assets are also attracting international funds due to their understandable business models and predictable future profitability [7]. Investor Participation - The participation rate of major international long-term investors in Chinese issuer IPO projects has increased from 10-15% at the market low in early 2024 to 85-90% currently [8].