鸡蛋配不上西红柿了？为啥今冬蔬菜价格涨得这么多？

Core Viewpoint - The price of vegetables, particularly tomatoes and cabbage, has significantly increased this winter compared to previous years, causing concern among consumers about the affordability of staple food items [1][3][10]. Price Trends - The average price of 19 types of vegetables in wholesale markets reached 5.36 yuan per kilogram, a year-on-year increase of 28.2% [1]. - The wholesale price of tomatoes has surged by 88% compared to the same period last year, reaching 9.12 yuan per kilogram [3]. - In January 2025, the price of tomatoes was only 4.67 yuan per kilogram, but it skyrocketed to over 9 yuan by early January 2026, nearly doubling [7]. - Cabbage prices have also risen sharply, with wholesale prices reaching 2.34 yuan per kilogram, more than doubling since the beginning of the year [10][14]. Factors Influencing Price Increases - Adverse weather conditions, including heavy rainfall and temperature drops, have negatively impacted vegetable production, leading to reduced supply and increased prices [14][18]. - Seasonal price fluctuations are exacerbated by the shift to facility-based cultivation in winter and increased costs associated with cross-regional distribution [18]. Comparison with Meat Prices - While vegetable prices are rising, meat prices, particularly pork, are declining due to oversupply from increased production capacity among farmers [19][22]. - Pork prices have dropped significantly, with prices in markets like Sichuan and Beijing showing reductions of 3-4 yuan per kilogram compared to last year [22]. Future Price Outlook - It is anticipated that vegetable prices will not continue to rise for long, as supply is expected to increase with the upcoming harvest from major production areas [26]. - The market is beginning to see a decrease in vegetable prices compared to early December 2025, as supply from southern regions starts to stabilize [26].