Group 1 - The bond market in China has played a significant role in supporting the real economy and responding to national strategies, experiencing a transition from a trending market to a fluctuating market [1][2] - In 2025, the bond market saw a substantial growth in scale, with the total outstanding bonds surpassing 196 trillion yuan and a year-on-year increase of 28.37% in government bond issuance [2] - The introduction of the "technology board" and the rapid rise of "science and technology bonds" issuance to 1.87 trillion yuan have marked a significant breakthrough in product innovation and structural optimization within the bond market [2][4] Group 2 - The macroeconomic policies for 2026, including more proactive fiscal and monetary policies, are expected to create a favorable environment for the bond market, emphasizing the importance of expanding domestic demand [4][5] - The integration of the bond market with technological innovation is anticipated to deepen, with the development of science and technology bonds becoming a key indicator of the bond market's support for the transformation and upgrading of the real economy [5] - The internationalization of the capital market is entering a new phase, with increasing attractiveness of RMB assets and steady foreign investment demand, alongside efforts to enhance connectivity between China's bond market and the global financial system [5]
第一创业证券王芳:债市步入“固本拓新”关键期,宽幅震荡中孕育结构机遇