被传有基地停产？通威股份：始终根据市场情况动态调整开工

Core Viewpoint - The silicon material industry is experiencing significant production adjustments, with major companies like Tongwei Co., Ltd. reportedly halting production, leading to a potential supply-demand rebalancing in the market [1][2]. Group 1: Production Adjustments - Tongwei Co., Ltd. has been adjusting its production rates dynamically based on market conditions to optimize economic performance, although specific execution details remain unclear [2]. - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association's silicon division reported that some leading companies are gradually halting production, with plans to continue for up to six months, which may reduce monthly silicon production to between 70,000 and 90,000 tons by Q1 2026 [2]. - In the first half of 2025, there are nine operational multi-crystalline silicon producers in China with a total capacity of 3.35 million tons per year, but production is expected to drop by 44.1% year-on-year to 597,000 tons, resulting in an operating rate of 38.6% to 44.1% [2]. Group 2: Inventory and Market Conditions - Despite production cuts, the high inventory levels in the silicon material sector remain unchanged, with an estimated inventory of 290,000 tons by the end of 2025, close to three months of consumption [3]. - The market is currently in a critical phase of supply-demand rebalancing, with stable silicon wafer production and slight consumption of social inventory providing essential support for the market [2]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Daqo New Energy Co., Ltd. has forecasted a net loss of 1 to 1.3 billion yuan for 2025, a significant reduction from over 2.7 billion yuan in the previous year, attributed to changes in asset impairment factors [4]. - Although there is an anticipated recovery in multi-crystalline silicon prices starting in Q3 2025 due to ongoing policy guidance, the industry still faces challenges from high inventory levels and weak demand [5].