【UNFX财经事件】地缘紧张缓和 黄金在利率观望中企稳整理

Group 1: Geopolitical and Market Sentiment - Recent geopolitical tensions have eased, leading to a stabilization in international gold prices, with spot gold fluctuating around $4600 per ounce [1] - U.S. President Trump indicated a potential delay in military action against Iran, which has alleviated market fears of escalating conflict, resulting in a short-term withdrawal of some safe-haven funds from gold [1] - Despite the easing of geopolitical risks, uncertainty remains, limiting the downside potential for gold prices [1] Group 2: Macroeconomic Indicators - The latest U.S. jobless claims data shows a decrease to 198,000, significantly below market expectations, indicating resilience in the labor market despite high interest rates [2] - The Federal Reserve's interest rate expectations have been pushed back to June, reflecting a stable job market and persistent inflation pressures [2] - Discussions around the independence of the Federal Reserve continue, with Trump stating he has no intention of firing Chairman Powell, which has somewhat eased market concerns [2] Group 3: Asset Correlation and Technical Analysis - The U.S. dollar index remains stable around 99.30, exerting limited marginal pressure on gold [3] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is consistently between 4.1% and 4.2%, indicating low volatility in the bond market and a cautious investor outlook [3] - Technically, gold is in a rising wedge pattern, with key resistance levels at $4643 and $4660, while support is found around $4549 and $4520 [3]