百利好晚盘分析：市场共识疲劳 金价窄幅震荡

Gold Market - Recent trends in the precious metals market showed clear movements only on Monday and Tuesday, followed by a period of consolidation due to market consensus fatigue, with limited declines as the market awaits new developments [2] - Trump's indication that Iran's actions to suppress protests are easing suggests a wait-and-see approach, but uncertainty remains regarding potential U.S. intervention in Iran [2] - Analyst Mai Dong noted that the easing of the Iran issue has somewhat diminished gold's safe-haven appeal, leading to a slight price drop, but the decline is limited, reflecting the market's consensus fatigue [2] - Technical analysis indicates a doji candle formation, with gold prices fluctuating around $4,600, and a critical support level at $4,575 to watch for market changes [2] Oil Market - The advancement of oil reforms in Venezuela is leading to increased oil supply in the market, with North American producers likely to consolidate to hedge against downward price risks in the current low oil price environment [3] - Geopolitical factors are expected to have a temporary impact on oil prices, with a prevailing downward trend likely to continue due to rising inventory pressures [3] - Concerns over supply surplus remain a core factor suppressing oil prices, and a decline in geopolitical risks could further contribute to price drops [4] - Technical analysis shows a bearish trend, with prices dropping from around $62 to $59, and key support at $58.20 and resistance at $60.20 [4] U.S. Dollar Index - Despite Powell facing criminal charges, Trump has no immediate plans to dismiss him, but future possibilities are not ruled out, with the market expecting the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in January while anticipating two rate cuts later in the year [5] - Recent industrial output data shows a third consecutive month of increases, indicating improved industrial prospects, although future expectations may be tempered by declining confidence in the manufacturing PMI [5] - Technical analysis indicates a bullish trend, with prices stabilizing above the 99 mark, and key support at 98.90 and resistance at 99.50 [5] Nasdaq Index - The Nasdaq index showed a bullish trend, with the market consolidating within a range of 25,000 to 25,800, indicating unclear trends in the short term [6] - Key resistance is noted at 25,800 and support at 25,400 [6] Copper Market - The copper market experienced a bearish trend, with prices retreating from historical highs and trading below $6.08, indicating a short-term downward trend [7] - Key resistance is at $5.95 and support at $5.62 [7]