2025金融数据收官：总量保持合理增长，货币政策发力传递积极信号

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) reported significant support from monetary policy for the real economy in 2025, with a focus on stabilizing investment and promoting economic growth [2]. Financial Data Summary - In December 2025, new RMB loans increased by 910 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 80 billion yuan, while the total social financing scale was 22,075 billion yuan, down by 646.2 billion yuan year-on-year [2][3]. - As of the end of December, broad money (M2) grew by 8.5% year-on-year, accelerating by 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, while narrow money (M1) grew by 3.8%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points from the previous month [2][6]. - For the entire year of 2025, new RMB loans totaled 16.27 trillion yuan, a decrease of 1.82 trillion yuan compared to the previous year [5]. Loan Structure Analysis - The loan structure showed a strong performance from enterprises, with corporate loans increasing by 580 billion yuan in December, while household loans decreased by 441.6 billion yuan [3][4]. - The overall weak credit performance in December was attributed to insufficient demand for loans, particularly from households, while corporate loan demand was supported by policy measures and year-end inventory needs [4]. Monetary Policy Outlook - The PBOC introduced a series of structural monetary policy tools, including a 25 basis point reduction in the interest rates of these tools and an increase in the quota for targeted loans [7][8]. - Analysts expect stable growth in social financing and credit in 2026, with social financing growth projected at around 8% and credit growth at over 6% [2][7]. - The focus of monetary policy will be on promoting economic growth and reasonable price recovery, with expectations of further reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions in 2026 [8].