3 6 Ke·2026-01-16 11:44Core Insights - China's automobile exports are projected to exceed 7 million units by 2025, reaching 7.098 million, a year-on-year increase of 21.1%, solidifying its position as the world's largest automobile exporter [1][2][6] - The growth in exports is driven by increased focus on overseas markets, enhanced international competitiveness of Chinese brands, and rapid growth in electric vehicle (EV) exports [1][2][6] Export Performance - In 2025, Chery is expected to lead with an export volume of 1.344 million units, a 17.4% increase, accounting for 18.9% of total exports [1][6][7] - BYD has emerged as a significant player, with exports reaching 1.054 million units, a 140% increase, moving from sixth to second place in export rankings [1][7][8] - SAIC Group is projected to export 950,000 units in 2025, implementing a new global strategy focused on localization [8] Market Dynamics - The export landscape is shifting, with Mexico becoming the largest export destination, surpassing Russia, which saw a decline in exports from over 1 million units in 2024 to 513,078 units in 2025 [1][10][11] - The top ten export destinations for Chinese automobiles in 2025 include Mexico, Russia, and the UAE, with significant increases in exports to these regions [10][11] Electric Vehicle Export Trends - In 2025, EV exports are expected to reach 2.615 million units, doubling year-on-year, while traditional fuel vehicle exports are projected to decline by 2% to 4.483 million units [6][12] - The growth in EV exports is characterized by a strong increase in plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), with exports of pure electric vehicles expected to reach 1.646 million units, a 66.7% increase [6][12] Strategic Developments - Chinese automakers are adapting their strategies to focus on brand and ecosystem development, moving from product export to value chain export [7][8][13] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with companies leveraging local production and technology transfer to enhance their market presence and mitigate risks [12][13]