世界银行：柬埔寨2026年经济增长预期下调至4.3% 明年有望回升

Core Viewpoint - The World Bank's latest report indicates that Cambodia's economic growth outlook faces short-term pressure due to a slowdown in global trade and increased external uncertainties [1] Economic Growth Projections - The World Bank forecasts Cambodia's economic growth rate to be 6% in 2024, but it is expected to slow to 4.8% in 2025 amid tightening global trade conditions [1] - The growth rate for 2026 is projected at 4.3%, a downward revision of 0.2 percentage points from previous estimates, with a potential recovery to 5.1% in 2027 [1] Challenges and Risks - The report highlights challenges posed by rising global tariffs and ongoing trade policy uncertainties, which impact economies reliant on exports and foreign investment [1] - Multiple risks to Cambodia's economic outlook include escalating global trade tensions, weak demand in major markets, tightening external financial conditions, and rising geopolitical uncertainties in the region [1] Medium-term Outlook - Despite short-term pressures, Cambodia's medium-term economic fundamentals remain resilient, supported by improvements in domestic demand, gradual recovery in regional trade, and ongoing enhancements in the investment environment [1] - The economy is expected to return to a growth trajectory of over 5% by 2027, maintaining a relatively strong growth position among ASEAN countries [1]