智利央行调查:市场预计3月降息,预计2026年GDP增长率为2.5%
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan·2026-01-16 16:10

Core Viewpoint - The Central Bank of Chile is expected to lower the benchmark interest rate from 4.5% to 4.25% in March, maintaining this level for nearly three years, with inflation projected to stabilize at 3% by the end of 2026 and 2027 [1] Economic Growth Projections - The GDP growth for 2026 is forecasted to be 2.5%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from previous estimates [1] - Household consumption and fixed asset investment are both expected to grow by 2.5% and 4% respectively [1] - Economic growth expectations for 2027 and 2028 are also maintained at 2.5% [1] Currency Exchange Rate Expectations - The exchange rate for the US dollar against the Chilean peso is anticipated to reach 895 within two months, with a slight decline to 890 over the next eleven months [1]