Intuitive Surgical Stock Dips on Q4 Preliminary Revenue Results

Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) reported preliminary revenues for Q4 and full-year 2025, with Q4 revenues at $2.87 billion, a 19% increase year over year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.72 billion [1][10] - Full-year revenues are projected to be $10.06 billion, reflecting a 21% year-over-year growth, also exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.92 billion [5][10] Q4 Revenue Breakdown - Instruments and accessories revenues for Q4 are expected to be around $1.66 billion, marking a 17% increase from the previous year [2] - Preliminary systems revenues for Q4 are approximately $786 million, driven by increased da Vinci system placements and higher average selling prices [3] System Placements - ISRG placed 532 da Vinci Surgical systems in Q4 2025, up from 493 in the same period last year, with 250 of these under operating leases [4] Full-Year Performance - Instruments and accessories revenues for the full year are estimated at $6.02 billion, indicating a 19% growth year over year [5] - Systems revenues improved to $2.47 billion compared to 2024 [5] Growth Drivers - The strong performance in 2025 is attributed to higher adoption and utilization of surgical platforms, broader product clearances, and over 3.1 million da Vinci procedures completed during the year [6] - Procedure volumes have been increasing, particularly in U.S. general surgery and various specialties internationally, with expectations for a 13-15% growth in worldwide da Vinci procedures in 2026 [7] Competitive Positioning - The full launch of da Vinci 5 is enhancing system utilization and efficiency, supporting ISRG's leadership in robotic-assisted surgery [9] - The growing installed base contributes to a recurring revenue model, with significant revenues coming from recurring sources [9] Market Challenges - Despite strong performance, ISRG faces challenges such as pressure on gross margins due to tariffs and higher costs, as well as competition and pricing pressures in international markets like China, Japan, and the U.K. [11][12] - In the U.S., declining bariatric procedure volumes due to GLP-1 drugs present additional uncertainty [13]