华尔街见闻早餐FM-Radio | 2026年1月17日

Market Overview - The most favored candidate for the Federal Reserve chair has changed, impacting market expectations for interest rate cuts, leading to a decline in U.S. Treasury yields and a slight drop in major stock indices, while small-cap stocks outperformed the broader market [2] - The Russell 2000 index rose by 0.1%, marking the 11th consecutive trading day of outperforming the S&P 500, which saw a weekly decline of 0.4% [2] - Large-cap tech stocks showed mixed performance, while semiconductor stocks were strong, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index increasing by 1.1% [2] Key Economic Indicators - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 5 basis points, while the 2-year yield increased by approximately 3 basis points [3] - The U.S. dollar briefly fell below 99 but later recovered, closing unchanged from Thursday's close [3] Commodity Market - Bitcoin is expected to record its largest weekly gain in three months, reaching a two-month high [4] - Spot gold fell by 0.7% but still accumulated a 2% gain for the week, while silver dropped by 2.4% [4] - WTI crude oil rose to $60 before retreating, with a weekly gain of 1% [4] Company News - Canada will import 49,000 electric vehicles from China, reducing the tariff from 100% to 6.1%, restoring it to pre-trade friction levels [5][22] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasized the need for steady market regulation and monitoring to prevent excessive market fluctuations [6][22] - Multiple core broad-based ETFs saw record trading volumes, indicating high market activity, although they also faced significant net redemptions [22] AI and Technology Sector - AI demand is surging, with companies like 澜起科技 (Lianqi Technology) projecting a net profit growth of 52.29% to 66.46% by 2025 due to increased shipments of interconnect chips [13] - 胜宏科技 (Shenghong Technology) anticipates a net profit increase of 260.35% to 295% in 2025, driven by AI computing power demand [14][27] - Nvidia is reportedly securing land near TSMC's facilities to ensure future production capacity amid rising demand for semiconductors [26] Global Economic Outlook - Morgan Stanley predicts that the strong U.S. economy will delay interest rate cuts, while Japan's central bank may maintain rates due to falling inflation [28] - Bank of America forecasts a 50% surge in uranium prices and highlights emerging market bonds as a top asset class for 2026 [29]