能源专家预测若煤炭供应充足，波黑有望重获电力出口国地位

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) could regain its status as a net electricity exporter by 2026 if the coal mines can supply an additional 1.5 million tons of coal [1] - In 2025, BiH's total electricity generation is projected to be 14.4 billion kilowatt-hours, with public power companies contributing 10.5 billion kilowatt-hours and private independent producers contributing 3.9 billion kilowatt-hours [1] - Despite declines in hydropower and coal power production, new wind and solar power plants are expected to maintain the total electricity generation at 2024 levels [1] Group 2 - Analysis indicates that the public power company faced a power shortfall of 1.7 billion kilowatt-hours last year, necessitating electricity purchases from the market to meet demand [2] - The actual electricity generation of the BiH power company was 23% lower than the 2025 electricity balance plan and 4% lower than the revised business plan for 2025-2027, primarily due to insufficient coal supply [2] - To achieve energy balance after taking on a supply obligation of 3 billion kilowatt-hours in the Burichko area in 2026, the BiH power company needs to secure an additional 1 million tons of coal [2]