不装了：美国掏出“广场协议”的刀，却发现中国脖子比刀还硬

Group 1 - The U.S. heavily relies on imports from China, with 99% of toasters, 98% of umbrellas, and 95% of holiday fireworks sourced from China, indicating a significant dependency on Chinese goods for everyday products [2] - The trade war initiated by the Trump administration, imposing a 60% tariff, has resulted in an annual additional cost of $2,400 per American household, effectively acting as an "inflation tax" [2] - The U.S. exports to China have decreased by 18.9%, while China's exports to ASEAN and Africa have surged by 8.5% and 27.6% respectively, highlighting a shift in trade dynamics [4] Group 2 - China's export structure has evolved, with electric vehicles seeing a 99.9% year-on-year growth and solar components accounting for 80% of global production, indicating a strong position in high-tech exports [4][5] - The U.S. manufacturing sector is struggling, with only 10.2% of its GDP coming from manufacturing and a projected shortfall of 1.9 million manufacturing jobs in the future [9] - China's manufacturing value added is $4.44 trillion, surpassing the combined total of the U.S., Japan, and Germany, showcasing its dominance in industrial production [9] Group 3 - U.S. attempts to replicate the "Plaza Accord" are unlikely to succeed due to China's independent economic and defense capabilities, as well as its control over currency valuation tools [7] - The U.S. government's debt interest payments exceed $7 trillion, with daily interest payments of $19.8 billion, reflecting a precarious fiscal situation [9] - China's self-sufficiency in the photovoltaic industry has reached a 95% localization rate for core equipment, pushing foreign competitors out of the market [11] Group 4 - The IMF has raised its forecast for China's economic growth in 2025 to 5%, predicting that China will contribute approximately 30% to global economic growth [13] - The $1.08 trillion trade surplus reflects a global market response to China's economic resilience, indicating a shift away from U.S. financial dominance [13] - China's advancements in innovation and manufacturing capabilities are solidifying its position in the global supply chain, countering U.S. attempts to impose restrictions [13]