寒潮下实探北京新发地：西红柿变身“蔬菜刺客” 批发商直呼“还得涨”

Core Viewpoint - The price of tomatoes, particularly in Beijing's Xinfadi market, has seen significant fluctuations due to weather conditions and supply chain disruptions, leading to a notable increase in consumer prices compared to previous years [1][10][12]. Price Trends - As of January 9-15, 2026, wholesale tomato prices decreased by 4.8% week-on-week but were still up 83.3% year-on-year [1][8]. - In the weeks leading up to January 16, 2026, tomato prices rose significantly, with weekly prices recorded at 7.47 CNY/kg, 8.04 CNY/kg, 8.63 CNY/kg, and 9.12 CNY/kg, reflecting increases of 3.9%, 7.6%, 7.3%, and 5.7% respectively [1][8]. Supply Chain Issues - Recent weather events, including rain and snow in major production areas, have disrupted transportation and reduced supply, contributing to rising prices [4][10][12]. - The upcoming cold wave is expected to exacerbate supply chain pressures, further impacting tomato availability and prices [11][12]. Consumer Impact - The rising prices of tomatoes have led consumers to reduce their purchases, with some opting for alternative vegetables due to affordability concerns [9][12]. - The increase in tomato prices has significantly affected household food expenses, with prices for premium varieties exceeding 13 CNY/kg, marking a year-on-year increase of over 70% [12]. Market Outlook - Wholesale traders anticipate that the upward trend in vegetable prices will continue in the short term, particularly as the Chinese New Year approaches [13]. - Long-term projections suggest that tomato prices may stabilize around late March 2026, as spring vegetables become available [13].