4 Stock Market Predictions for 2026

Group 1: AI Market Dynamics - Gemini, developed by Alphabet, is rapidly increasing its market share in the AI space, jumping from 5% to 18% in 2025, while ChatGPT's share decreased from 87% to 68% [2][3] - Recent data indicates that Gemini's market share may now exceed 21%, attributed to the successful launch of Gemini 3 and its selection by Apple to power Siri [5][6] - The shift from ChatGPT to Gemini could disrupt the AI market, potentially affecting OpenAI's valuation and funding prospects, as it is estimated to need over $200 billion for growth [6][7] Group 2: Market Correction Predictions - A stock market correction, defined as a drop of at least 10%, is anticipated in 2026, following historical trends where corrections occur every one to two years [8][9] - The last correction occurred in early 2025, suggesting that another may happen in the second half of 2026 [11] Group 3: Power Bottleneck Opportunities - The increasing electricity demand from AI infrastructure is outpacing supply, leading to higher electricity prices, which is being addressed by the Trump administration [12][13] - Companies like Itron, which deploy smart meters to optimize power grid usage, and Tesla, which offers battery solutions to smooth out demand, are positioned to benefit from the electricity bottleneck [15][17][18] Group 4: Market Outlook - Despite predictions of a correction, the overall market is expected to end higher by December 31, 2026, supported by strong infrastructure spending and improving economic conditions [19][20] - Historical performance shows that the S&P 500 tends to recover quickly from downturns, indicating a positive long-term outlook for investors [21]