最后一步熄火了，美国油企拒绝去委内瑞拉，特朗普大失所望

Group 1 - The U.S. government's plan to control Venezuela's oil resources has faced significant setbacks, with military actions failing to secure the necessary corporate investment [1][3] - Major oil companies, including ExxonMobil and Chevron, have expressed reluctance to invest in Venezuela due to concerns over the legal and business environment, despite the U.S. government's assurances [3][5] - Venezuela's oil production has drastically declined from a peak of 3.5 million barrels per day to under 1 million, representing only 1% of global oil supply, complicating the feasibility of the proposed $100 billion investment [5][7] Group 2 - The U.S. strategy aims to weaken OPEC+ influence and consolidate the dominance of the petrodollar, but it conflates geopolitical force with commercial viability, neglecting corporate investment return and risk concerns [7][9] - The U.S. Energy Secretary acknowledged that restoring Venezuela's oil production to 3 million barrels per day could take 8 to 12 years, contrasting sharply with the administration's optimistic projections [9][11] - The approach of bypassing the Venezuelan government for direct dealings with U.S. authorities has drawn criticism and highlighted the high uncertainty of the investment environment [9][11]