SAIC MOTOR(SH:600104) Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao·2026-01-18 11:08Core Viewpoint - SAIC Motor Corporation has announced a significant profit forecast for 2025, expecting a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 438% to 558%, yet its stock price remains undervalued and in a state of net asset deficit [4][10]. Group 1: Company Performance and Market Position - As of January 16, 2026, SAIC Motor's market capitalization stands at 172.3 billion RMB, ranking first among state-owned listed automotive companies, but significantly lower than BYD's market cap of 874 billion RMB [5][6]. - The company's price-to-earnings ratio is 15.95, and its price-to-book ratio is 0.58, indicating a valuation below industry averages [6][11]. - Despite a strong profit forecast, SAIC Motor's stock has declined by 26.37% in 2025, and it remains in a "broken net" state, with a closing price of 14.99 RMB per share, below its net asset value of 25.71 RMB per share [8][10]. Group 2: Market Challenges and Investor Sentiment - Many investors have expressed concerns regarding SAIC Motor's market value management, questioning whether the company's strategies are effective or merely superficial [8][12]. - The automotive industry is facing intense competition and rapid transformation towards new energy and smart technologies, which complicates investment prospects [21][22]. - There is a perception among industry executives that their companies are undervalued in the market, with most listed automotive companies having market caps below 200 billion RMB [20]. Group 3: Value Management and Strategic Initiatives - The company has previously implemented three rounds of share repurchase plans totaling 4.747 billion RMB, but the effectiveness of these measures has been questioned [16][18]. - According to the regulatory guidelines, companies in a long-term net asset deficit must disclose their valuation enhancement plans, which SAIC Motor has committed to improving [10][12]. - The focus on operational quality and the development of popular vehicle models is seen as crucial for enhancing market value, rather than relying solely on share buybacks [24][26].