Group 1 - Since 2022, the chemical industry has faced price declines due to new capacity coming online and falling crude oil prices, leading to a decrease in overall profitability as companies adopt a price-for-volume strategy to capture market share [1] - In 2024, most chemical prices are stabilizing at the bottom, with profitability still under pressure; however, the introduction of growth stabilization measures may lead to the elimination of some outdated capacities, improving the overall supply-demand balance and potentially enhancing product profitability [1] - According to Huatai Securities, by the second half of 2025, the profitability of bulk chemicals is expected to hit a ten-year low due to weak demand and the end of supply-side increments, similar to the industry losses seen at the end of 2015 [1] Group 2 - The chemical industry is characterized as a typical cyclical industry, usually experiencing a five-year cycle through stages of "profit upturn - capacity expansion - profit bottoming - capacity clearance/demand expectation improvement" [2] - With negative growth in capital expenditure, anti-involution trends, global interest rate cuts, and domestic demand expansion, the chemical sector is anticipated to enter a "dawn" phase at the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] - Related Hong Kong stocks in the chemical industry include Sinopec (00386), Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033), Sinopec Engineering (02386), Shanghai Petrochemical (00338), Sinopec Kantons (00934), China Sanjiang Chemical (02198), and Wuhan Organic Chemicals (02881) [3]