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Market Performance - The market experienced a "cooling trend" last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high on Monday before undergoing fluctuations and corrections throughout the week [1] - Trading volume was notably high, exceeding 4 trillion yuan, but enthusiasm gradually waned, particularly in previously leading sectors like AI applications and commercial aerospace [1] Economic Data - December 2025 export data showed a year-on-year increase of 6.6%, significantly surpassing market expectations of 2.2%, indicating resilience in China's manufacturing sector within the global supply chain [2] - For the entire year of 2025, exports grew by 5.5%, slightly below the 5.8% growth in 2024, maintaining a stable growth range of 5%-6% for two consecutive years [2] - Social financing in December 2025 increased by 2.2 trillion yuan, although this was a decrease of 645.7 billion yuan compared to the previous year [2] Credit Expansion and Policy - Credit expansion showed marginal improvement in 2025, with a notable increase in government bonds as a proportion of total social financing, indicating a deeper reliance on fiscal measures [3] - The People's Bank of China announced a reduction in interest rates for structural monetary policy tools by 0.25 percentage points, aiming to stabilize growth and expectations [3] - The central bank emphasized that there is still room for further reductions in reserve requirements and interest rates, maintaining a loose monetary policy direction [3] Market Regulation - Regulatory measures were implemented to cool down the market and curb rapid growth in leveraged funds, with the margin requirement for financing raised from 80% to 100% [4] - The balance of margin financing reached a historical high of 2.7 trillion yuan, reflecting a heated market sentiment [4] Sector Developments - The AI sector saw significant advancements, with companies like Apple and Alibaba making strides in AI hardware and applications [5] - The commodities sector faced disruptions, particularly in the non-ferrous metals market, with recent price increases showing signs of stabilization [6] - The U.S. Federal Reserve's low probability of interest rate cuts in January may impact global liquidity expectations [6] Economic Outlook - The domestic PMI returned to the expansion zone in December 2025, indicating a recovery in manufacturing demand and strong export performance, which may boost market confidence [7] - Long-term bullish trends in the market are expected to continue despite short-term volatility influenced by overseas market conditions [7]