国泰海通证券:维持优然牧业“增持”评级 大股东定增彰显信心
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-01-19 03:05

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Guoyuan Livestock (09858) is maintained with a "buy" rating, with projected revenues for 2025-2027 at 20.855, 23.018, and 25.842 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 3.8%, 10.4%, and 12.3% respectively, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.18, 1.837, and 4.282 billion yuan [1] - The company plans to raise HKD 2.33 billion through the issuance of 599 million shares, approximately 15.4% of the pre-transaction share capital, to repay loans and for digital transformation, which may lead to further optimization of its ranch layout [1] - The major shareholder's confidence is highlighted by a planned issuance of 299 million shares, increasing their stake to 36%, with a fundraising amount of approximately HKD 1.159 billion and HKD 1.172 billion from different issuance methods [2] Group 2 - The inventory of replacement cattle continues to decrease, influenced by pre-Spring Festival stocking, with expectations of a gradual reflection of the impact of postpartum cow replenishment shortages [3] - Prices of corn, soybean meal, and alfalfa have rebounded by 7%, 3%, and 14% respectively from previous lows, which may accelerate the de-stocking process [3] - The domestic dairy processing industry is expected to accelerate domestic substitution due to the implementation of anti-subsidy policies, with the milk price anticipated to enter an upward cycle by 2026 [3]

Haitong Securities-国泰海通证券:维持优然牧业“增持”评级 大股东定增彰显信心 - Reportify