Core Viewpoint - CICC forecasts that China Resources Vientiane Life's retail sales from shopping centers will grow by 20% to 25% year-on-year in 2025, with same-store sales expected to increase by 10% to 15% [1] Group 1: Retail Performance - The retail sales growth forecast for 2025 indicates a strong recovery and positive market sentiment [1] - Same-store sales growth is projected to be between 10% and 15%, reflecting healthy consumer demand [1] Group 2: Property and Office Segment - The property and office segment is expected to remain stable, with basic property management business continuing to grow due to active external expansion [1] - The annual new contract amount for property management is expected to maintain around 1 billion yuan, consistent with 2023 to 2024 levels [1] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company is expected to maintain operating cash flow covering net profit by more than 1 time, indicating strong financial health [1] - The company will continue its positive shareholder return policy, maintaining a historical dividend payout ratio of 100% for the first half of 2023, 2024, and 2025 [1] Group 4: Rating and Target Price - CICC maintains an "outperform industry" rating for the company with a target price of 48 HKD [1]
研报掘金｜中金：维持华润万象生活“跑赢行业”评级，预期派息政策延续