Guan Cha Zhe Wang·2026-01-19 10:19Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in stock prices of major U.S. automakers is linked to Trump's statements regarding support for American auto workers and a shift in attitude towards Chinese automakers, raising concerns about the profitability and market conditions for U.S. companies [3][4][6]. Group 1: Stock Market Reaction - Major U.S. automakers saw significant stock price declines, with General Motors down approximately 3%, Ford down about 4%, and Stellantis down around 11% [1]. - The market's reaction indicates a focus on uncertainties regarding corporate profitability, trade barriers, and industry direction, despite Trump's seemingly welcoming remarks towards Chinese automakers [3][4]. Group 2: Trade and Regulatory Environment - Trump's welcoming remarks for Chinese automakers are made against the backdrop of high tariffs on Chinese imports, which remain a significant barrier to entry for Chinese vehicles in the U.S. market [4][6]. - U.S. Trade Representative stated that tariffs are in place to protect American workers from foreign vehicles, highlighting the ongoing regulatory challenges for Chinese automakers [6]. Group 3: Globalization Trends - Despite the challenges, there is a growing trend of easing restrictions on Chinese electric vehicles in other markets, with Canada recently removing punitive tariffs and the EU adjusting tax rates [7][9]. - Chinese automakers, such as BYD, have shown strong growth in international markets, with a reported 276% increase in deliveries to Europe [9]. Group 4: Potential Pathways for Chinese Automakers - Three potential pathways for Chinese automakers to enter the U.S. market include: 1. Embedding within the U.S. supply chain without direct competition as a brand [11][12]. 2. Local manufacturing in the U.S. to mitigate political resistance, although this comes with its own set of challenges [16][18]. 3. Establishing production bases in nearby regions like Mexico or Brazil to create an indirect entry into the U.S. market [19][21]. Group 5: Strategic Implications - The overarching strategy for Chinese automakers is not merely to sell vehicles in the U.S. but to navigate the complex political and regulatory landscape to establish a presence [23]. - The shift from exporting vehicles to becoming participants in a global automotive ecosystem reflects a broader trend in the industry, with the U.S. market being one of many avenues for growth [23].