高盛：特朗普关税“雷声大雨点小”，对欧元区GDP冲击有限

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles is that the proposed 10% tariff by President Trump could lead to a reduction in the GDP of the Eurozone by approximately 0.1 percentage points [1] - Goldman Sachs estimates that the 10% tariff could result in a GDP decline of 0.1% to 0.2% for the affected countries, with Germany facing the largest impact, potentially seeing a GDP drop of about 0.2% under gradual tariff measures [1] - If comprehensive tariffs are implemented, Germany's GDP decline could expand to approximately 0.3% [1] Group 2 - The Goldman Sachs team indicates that if negative confidence shocks or increased financial market volatility occur, the actual economic impact may exceed current estimates [2] - Global financial markets have shown significant volatility due to escalating trade tensions, with European stock markets and U.S. index futures declining, while traditional safe-haven assets like gold have risen [2] - The European Union is currently discussing imposing tariffs on U.S. goods valued at €93 billion (approximately $108 billion) while prioritizing diplomatic solutions to avoid further trade disputes [2]