地缘风险推升贵金属价格,全球关键矿产资源战略地位提升
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-20 02:37

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a comprehensive pullback, with significant declines in companies such as China Tungsten High-Tech and Xiamen Tungsten, while the non-ferrous mining ETF has seen a net inflow of over 100 million in the past six trading days, indicating potential investment opportunities despite current market volatility [1][14]. Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous mining ETF (159690) has seen a decline of 3.19%, but has attracted over 4 million in funds during the downturn, with a total net inflow exceeding 1 billion in the last six trading days [1]. - The non-ferrous mining index has achieved a remarkable one-year growth of 124.26%, outperforming mainstream non-ferrous indices [3][4]. - Historical performance shows the non-ferrous mining index has a ten-year cumulative increase of 172.62% and an annualized return of 10.87%, indicating strong resilience compared to other indices [10][12]. Group 2: Strategic Insights - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) suggests that the gold price may stabilize and rise, presenting a reallocation opportunity, while the silver market faces challenges due to uneven regional inventories and pending tariff policies [17][18]. - Ever since 2025, the emphasis on "critical mineral resources" has significantly increased in Europe and the U.S., with procurement plans from the U.S. and Australia indicating that cobalt, tantalum, antimony, and gallium will account for notable percentages of global production in 2024 [18][19]. - Investment opportunities are highlighted in strategic metals storage, particularly those with supply chain risks concentrated in specific regions, such as copper, lithium, and nickel, as well as metals essential for energy transition and AI applications [18][19].