Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-20 02:37Core Viewpoint - The chemical ETF Tianhong (159133) is experiencing significant capital inflow and positive market performance, driven by macroeconomic factors and industry dynamics [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 20, 2026, the chemical ETF Tianhong (159133) recorded a transaction volume of 6.5777 million yuan, with the underlying index rising by 0.46% [1]. - The ETF has seen a net subscription of 20 million shares within the first half hour of trading, indicating strong investor interest [1]. - The ETF's latest scale and share count have reached new highs since its inception, with a total net inflow of 312 million yuan over the past 14 days [2]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The Tianhong ETF tracks the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index, focusing on various sub-sectors within the Chinese chemical industry, including chemical raw materials and manufacturing [2]. - The chemical sector is experiencing a rebound, supported by macroeconomic factors such as an unexpected rise in PMI and a stronger yuan, which reduces import costs [2]. - The industry is witnessing a reduction in capital expenditure, with a shift towards "de-involution" strategies that help mitigate risks of oversupply [2][3]. Group 3: Price Trends and Future Outlook - Recent data shows that 44.1% of 170 tracked chemical products have seen price increases, with notable rises in lithium carbonate, ABS, and epoxy propane [3]. - The dual forces of supply-side contraction and demand-side growth, driven by national policies and external economic conditions, are expected to support a cyclical recovery in the chemical industry [3].