Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the USD/CAD exchange rate is experiencing a slight rebound, driven primarily by the correlation with international oil prices and ongoing trade concerns between the US and Europe [1][2]. - The recent adjustments in the Federal Reserve's interest rate expectations suggest that US rates will remain elevated for a longer period, which supports the USD's relative strength while limiting the potential for a significant pullback against the CAD [2]. - The technical analysis of the USD/CAD exchange rate shows a generally strong upward trend, with key support levels above 1.3800 and significant resistance around 1.3900-1.3920, indicating a range-bound market influenced by oil price fluctuations and US monetary policy expectations [3]. Group 2 - The market sentiment remains cautious due to uncertainties surrounding trade dynamics and energy demand, which could impact the CAD's performance against the USD [2]. - The interplay between oil price movements and US monetary policy is crucial for the USD/CAD exchange rate, with macroeconomic risks still present, suggesting a likely continuation of the range-bound trading between 1.38 and 1.39 [3]. - Future developments in oil prices and US economic data will be critical in shaping the market's outlook on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and the overall USD/CAD exchange rate trajectory [3].
ETO Markets：油价跌美元降息推迟 美元兑加元回升至1.3870
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-20 05:27