Ge Long Hui·2026-01-20 08:00Group 1 - The main trend in the commodity market for 2025 will continue into 2026, with global demand-driven metals (such as gold, copper, and lithium) expected to outperform domestic demand-driven sectors (such as coal and steel) [1] - Supply disruptions and accelerated industry consolidation are anticipated to persist throughout the year [1] - The old-for-new subsidy policy is expected to continue until 2026, with incentives becoming more targeted and efficiency-focused, providing substantial support for overall commodity demand [1] Group 2 - The preferred order for the basic materials sector in 2026 is gold and copper, followed by aluminum, lithium, coal, and steel [1] - The materials sector is expected to continue outperforming the MSCI China Index in 2026, with recommendations for investors to buy Zijin Mining and to accumulate China Aluminum and China Hongqiao on dips [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum may experience a temporary pause due to the issuance of convertible bonds [1]