Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-20 11:20Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic and real estate industries are experiencing significant losses, with the real estate sector facing even more severe challenges as many companies, including state-owned enterprises, are projected to report substantial losses in 2025 [1][5]. Summary by Sections Photovoltaic Industry Losses - Tongwei Co. is expected to report a loss of 9 to 10 billion yuan, TCL Zhonghuan is projected to lose 9.2 to 9.6 billion yuan, LONGi Green Energy is expected to lose 6 to 6.5 billion yuan, and JA Solar is projected to lose 4.5 to 4.8 billion yuan in 2025 [1]. Real Estate Industry Losses - As of January 19, 2026, 22 A-share listed real estate companies have released their 2025 performance forecasts, with only Poly Development expected to be profitable, while the other 21 companies are projected to incur losses [1][3]. - Poly Development anticipates a net profit of 1.026 billion yuan in 2025, a significant decrease of 79.49% compared to 2024, despite a slight revenue decline of 1.09% [4]. Major Losses Among Real Estate Companies - China Fortune Land Development and Greenland Holdings are expected to report losses exceeding 10 billion yuan, with China Fortune Land Development projected to lose between 16 to 24 billion yuan and Greenland Holdings expected to lose between 16 to 19 billion yuan [6][7]. - Other companies such as Beichen Industrial, Guangming Real Estate, and Jingtou Development are also expected to report losses exceeding 1 billion yuan [7]. Shift from Profit to Loss - Companies like Huafa Holdings and Tibet Urban Investment, which were profitable in 2024, are projected to report losses in 2025, marking a significant shift in their financial performance [8]. - The overall trend indicates that many companies are facing unprecedented challenges, with some experiencing their first losses in decades [1][8]. Market Conditions and Profitability - The decline in profitability across the real estate sector is attributed to a prolonged downturn in housing prices, leading to asset impairment and reduced profit margins [15][16]. - The average gross margin for major real estate companies has decreased significantly, with some companies reporting net profit margins as low as 2.27% [16]. Broader Implications - The losses are not confined to private enterprises; state-owned and central enterprises are also affected, indicating a systemic issue within the real estate market [17]. - The perception of the real estate industry as a high-profit sector is changing, as many companies are now struggling to maintain profitability amid challenging market conditions [16][17].