中外学者纵横谈：中国经济将继续是全球经济增长最大引擎

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, China's economy is projected to grow by 5.0%, reaching over 140 trillion yuan, demonstrating resilience and innovation amid complex international challenges [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Performance and Resilience - China's economy shows strong resilience and adaptability, achieving a growth rate of 5.0% despite external geopolitical tensions and rising global economic uncertainties [2][3]. - The evaluation of China's economic performance is shifting from a singular focus on growth rates to a multidimensional assessment that includes ecological improvement and public welfare [1][2]. - The government's strategic planning and policy coordination are crucial for maintaining economic stability and facilitating structural adjustments [2][4]. Group 2: Innovation and High-Quality Development - Innovation is positioned as the core driver of China's long-term economic growth, with a focus on enhancing total factor productivity as traditional growth factors diminish [5][6]. - China maintains a strong momentum in sectors like artificial intelligence, robotics, and renewable energy, with its global innovation index ranking entering the top ten for the first time [6][10]. - The establishment of a complete industrial system and a robust talent cultivation framework supports China's innovation capabilities [6][5]. Group 3: Global Economic Cooperation and Trade - China's trade resilience is attributed to a comprehensive industrial system, innovation-driven growth, and institutional openness that enhances trade dynamics [7][8]. - The country is actively expanding its global market presence and optimizing trade structures, which helps mitigate external shocks [2][7]. - China's commitment to high-level openness and the establishment of free trade zones are designed to attract global resources and enhance international economic cooperation [9][10]. Group 4: Long-Term Economic Outlook - China's contribution to global economic growth remains significant, with a consistent contribution rate of around 30% in recent years [10][11]. - The long-term positive trend of China's economy is supported by its vast market size, complete industrial system, and ongoing innovation and green transformation efforts [11][12]. - Despite challenges during the transition from old to new growth drivers, maintaining stability and providing green products and innovations will be crucial for both domestic and global economic support [11].