3 6 Ke·2026-01-21 01:39Core Viewpoint - Recent policy changes in Germany and Canada are creating favorable conditions for Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers to expand internationally, particularly in the European and North American markets [1][2][5]. Group 1: Germany's Policy Changes - The German government has announced a €3 billion (approximately ¥24.5 billion) subsidy plan for electric vehicles, providing up to €6,000 (approximately ¥49,000) for households purchasing new electric cars, which is open to all manufacturers, including Chinese brands [1][2]. - This subsidy aims to boost electric vehicle sales and support the automotive industry after a significant drop in demand following the end of previous subsidy programs [5]. - The German Federal Environment Minister emphasized the need to embrace competition rather than impose restrictions, indicating a welcoming stance towards Chinese automotive manufacturers [5]. Group 2: Canada's Policy Adjustments - Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced the cancellation of a 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles and introduced an annual quota of 49,000 vehicles that will benefit from a 6.1% most-favored-nation tariff rate [1][8]. - This quota corresponds to the export volume from China to Canada before the imposition of additional tariffs, with expectations for gradual increases over the years [10]. - Trudeau highlighted China's undeniable advantages in the electric vehicle sector, aiming to learn from innovative partners to enhance Canada's competitive automotive industry [10]. Group 3: Export Growth of Chinese Automakers - In 2025, China's total automobile exports are projected to reach 8.32 million units, marking a 30% year-on-year increase, continuing a five-year growth trend [11]. - The export value is expected to grow from $34.5 billion (approximately ¥240.1 billion) in 2021 to $142.4 billion (approximately ¥991 billion) in 2025, reflecting a 21% increase [11]. - Notably, the export volume of new energy vehicles is anticipated to double, reaching 2.615 million units in 2025, with significant contributions from major automakers like BYD and Chery [11][16]. Group 4: Performance of Major Chinese Automakers - Chery is expected to lead in export volume in 2025, with 1.34 million units, while BYD's exports are projected to reach 1.05 million units, a 144% increase from the previous year [16][18]. - SAIC Group is also set to export 950,000 units, leveraging its joint ventures and brand portfolio [18]. - New entrants like Leap Motor and Xpeng are showing remarkable growth, with exports increasing by 600% and 150%, respectively, indicating a strong competitive presence in the international market [19][20]. Group 5: Industry Implications - The evolving international landscape for Chinese automakers signifies a historic shift from "bringing in" to "going out," enhancing the global influence of Chinese automotive brands [21]. - The advancements in technology, such as smart cabins and battery innovations, are contributing to the transformation of the global automotive industry [21]. - The current complex international environment and restructuring of the global automotive landscape suggest that Chinese automotive exports are likely to maintain a robust trajectory, becoming a key driving force in global mobility transformation [21].