《全球贸易观察（GTO）2026年度展望报告》：企业采取三大举措应对贸易不确定性

Core Insights - The report from Dubai Ports World indicates that despite increasing trade tensions and market volatility, 94% of respondents expect trade growth in 2026 to be on par with or faster than in 2025 [1] Group 1: Trade Growth Expectations - 54% of respondents anticipate that trade growth in 2026 will exceed that of 2025, while 40% believe it will remain stable [1] - The optimism is set against a backdrop of significant macroeconomic uncertainty, with 53% of respondents expecting high or extreme policy uncertainty [1] - 90% of respondents foresee an increase or maintenance of trade barriers, yet only 25% expect these challenges to negatively impact their business [1] Group 2: Regional Trade Potential - The regions identified with the most trade growth potential for 2026 include Europe (22%), China (17%), Asia-Pacific (14%), and North America (13%) [1] Group 3: Supply Chain and Trade Route Adjustments - Companies are actively reshaping their supply chains and trade routes to address uncertainties, with key strategies including: - Elevating resilience as a strategic core focus, with 51% diversifying suppliers, 44% increasing inventory levels, and 36% adopting "friend-shoring" [1] Group 4: Trade Route Flexibility - 26% of companies plan to implement new trade routes, while 23% are evaluating new routes, driven primarily by cost savings (38%), improved connectivity and inland infrastructure (36%), and faster customs procedures (35%) [2] Group 5: Customs and Border Challenges - 60% of respondents identify customs clearance as a major cause of delays and disruptions [2] - Companies are focusing investments on warehousing and logistics hubs (39%), road networks (36%), and border and customs processing infrastructure (36%) [2]