Core Viewpoint - Haitong International forecasts strong revenue and profit growth for Tsugami Machine Tool China from FY2026 to FY2028, with a target price of HKD 46.94 based on a 15x P/E ratio for FY2026, and initiates coverage with an "Outperform" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Expected revenues for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 are projected at CNY 5.439 billion, CNY 6.984 billion, and CNY 8.601 billion respectively [1] - Forecasted net profits attributable to shareholders for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 are CNY 1.053 billion, CNY 1.132 billion, and CNY 1.589 billion respectively [1] - Earnings per share are anticipated to be CNY 2.8, CNY 3.49, and CNY 4.23 for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 respectively [1] Group 2: Business Performance - The company has experienced rapid growth, with a net profit of CNY 479 million in FY2024, expected to increase by 63% to CNY 782 million in FY2025 [1] - Sales revenue increased by approximately 26.2% year-on-year, while net profit grew by about 47.7% year-on-year in the past six months [1] - The main business focuses on four downstream industries: automotive parts, IT communications electronics, industrial automation, and medical devices, with the automotive sector being the primary growth driver over the past two years [1] Group 3: Market Trends - The domestic automotive industry is expected to maintain stability this year, with the trend towards smaller components in new energy vehicle parts aiding the company's penetration [2] - The 3C industry is showing signs of recovery, benefiting from product updates and iterations by leading smartphone manufacturers [1][2] - The company's lathe business is projected to achieve stable growth of 20% to 25% driven by advancements in automotive-related and new AI businesses [2]
海通国际：首次覆盖津上机床中国予“优于大市”评级 目标价46.94港元