高盛：AI正在引爆全球PCB大周期

Core Insights - Goldman Sachs indicates that the construction of artificial intelligence infrastructure is driving the PCB (Printed Circuit Board) and CCL (Copper Clad Laminate) industries into a super cycle [1] - The report highlights a dual drive of "higher speed" and "larger scale" due to continuous upgrades in AI server specifications, significantly enhancing the value and market space of related components [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The global AI server PCB market is projected to grow by 113% year-on-year by 2026 and continue to grow by 117% in 2027 [1] - The AI server CCL market is expected to see even more remarkable growth, with forecasts of 142% and 222% year-on-year increases in 2026 and 2027, respectively [1][3] - The surge in demand is attributed to increased computing density, a spike in demand for high-speed connections (such as 800G/1.6T), and the trend of PCBs gradually replacing copper cable connections within AI servers [1] Group 2: Value Enhancement - The report emphasizes two main trends: speed upgrades leading to increased dollar value and scale effects expanding the total addressable market (TAM) [2] - The application of PCBs in AI servers is increasing, particularly in rack-level servers where PCB backplanes and midplanes are replacing traditional copper cable connections, providing additional growth opportunities for the industry [2] Group 3: Market Forecast - The global AI server PCB market is expected to grow from approximately $3.1 billion in 2024 to $27.1 billion in 2027 [3] - The CCL market is projected to surge from $1.5 billion in 2024 to $18.7 billion in 2027, with growth rates for CCL outpacing those of optical modules and AI training servers [3] Group 4: Investment Perspective - Goldman Sachs counters concerns about market growth slowing and increased competition, arguing that rapid technological iterations create high barriers to entry, benefiting leading companies [4] - The development and production of the latest generation of AI servers require significant R&D investment and capital expenditure, effectively limiting the number of new entrants [4] - Goldman Sachs initiates coverage with a "buy" rating for Shenghong Technology, Huadian Technology, and Shengyi Technology [4]