Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q1 Release

Core Viewpoint - Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending December 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for January 28, and better-than-expected results could lead to a stock price increase, while disappointing results may cause a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $2.83 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 3.4%, while revenues are projected to be $3.69 billion, up 4.2% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.17% higher, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Raymond James Financial is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +0.67%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with a positive Earnings ESP indicating a higher likelihood of an earnings beat [8][9]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have historically produced positive surprises nearly 70% of the time [10]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Raymond James Financial exceeded the expected earnings of $2.7 per share, achieving actual earnings of $3.11, resulting in a surprise of +15.19% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Conclusion - Raymond James Financial is viewed as a strong candidate for an earnings beat, but investors should consider additional factors before making investment decisions [17].