史诗级联动！波兰购金叠加丹麦弃美债，金价14天涨554美元，未来上看5400美元？

Core Viewpoint - The international gold price has surged to a historic high of $4,883 per ounce, driven by multiple factors including geopolitical tensions and trade conflicts, particularly related to the Greenland dispute and U.S. tariffs on European goods [1][3]. Geopolitical Factors - The escalation of geopolitical risks, particularly the U.S. imposing tariffs on eight European countries, has heightened market concerns about a potential trade war, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3][4]. - The situation surrounding Greenland has intensified, with Denmark's firm stance against U.S. acquisition plans and military simulations by Canada regarding a potential U.S. invasion, further straining U.S.-European relations [3][4]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. economic landscape shows signs of resilience, with stable employment and strong GDP growth, but concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence and rising inflation expectations are influencing market dynamics [7][8]. - Recent inflation data indicates a year-on-year CPI of 2.7%, with core CPI at 2.6%, both slightly below market expectations, suggesting a potential easing of inflationary pressures [7][8]. Central Bank Actions - Central banks globally continue to purchase gold, with Poland's central bank planning to increase its gold reserves significantly, reflecting a broader trend of diversifying away from the U.S. dollar [12]. - The World Gold Council projects that global central bank gold purchases will remain robust, with an estimated total of 800-850 tons in 2025, despite a decline from 2024 levels [12]. Market Sentiment and Predictions - Analysts predict that gold prices may continue to rise, with some estimates suggesting a target of $5,000 per ounce by 2026, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties [12][13]. - The volatility in the market, particularly in response to U.S. stock market fluctuations, may impact gold and silver prices, necessitating cautious investment strategies [14].